Prediction of geographic distribution and ecological niche modeling of açaí palm trees in the Amazon

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dc.creatorMaria José Marques
dc.creatorCaroline de Souza Bezerra
dc.creatorJennifer Souza Tomaz
dc.creatorRicardo Lopes
dc.creatorMarcos Silveira Wrege
dc.creatorAnanda Virginia de Aguiar
dc.creatorSantiago Linorio Ferreyra Ramos
dc.creatorCarlos Henrique Salvino Gadêlha Meneses
dc.creatorTherezinha de Jesus Pinto Fraxe
dc.creatorMaria Teresa Gomes Lopes
dc.date2024
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T04:31:54Z
dc.descriptionEuterpe precatória Mart. (açaí-do-amazonas) and Euterpe oleracea Mart. (açaí-do-pará) are palm trees of socioeconomic importance to Brazil, and fruit demand has increased due to its nutritional characteristics. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of global climate change on the current geographic distribution of E. precatória and E. oleracea and in future climate scenarios using the ecological niche modeling in the scope of Brazilian territories. The modelings used 28 environmental variables, including climatic and edaphic data. The current distribution was verified for the reference period (2009-2019) and future projections were evaluated in two scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways - SSP): SSP 245 (less pessimistic) and SSP 585 (more pessimistic), in the time interval of 2061-2080. All algorithms presented satisfactory evaluation indexes. Euterpe precatória has a predominant geographic distribution in the Amazon domain, while E. oleracea has potential occurrence in three Brazilian phytogeographic domains: Amazon, Cerrado and Atlantic Forest. Euterpe oleracea showed to be more sensitive to climate change in both scenarios, while E. precatoria was more resilient up to a certain level of temperature increase (SSP 245).
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifier1517-6398
dc.identifierhttps://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=253076425011
dc.identifierhttps://www.redalyc.org/journal/2530/253076425011/
dc.identifierhttps://www.redalyc.org/journal/2530/253076425011/html/
dc.identifierhttps://www.redalyc.org/journal/2530/253076425011/253076425011.epub
dc.identifierhttps://www.redalyc.org/journal/2530/253076425011/movil
dc.identifier10.1590/1983-40632024v5478108
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/464238
dc.languageen
dc.publisherUniversidade Federal de Goiás
dc.relationhttp://www.redalyc.org/revista.oa?id=2530
dc.rightsPesquisa Agropecuária Tropical
dc.sourcePesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Brasil) Vol.54
dc.subjectAgrociencias
dc.titlePrediction of geographic distribution and ecological niche modeling of açaí palm trees in the Amazon
dc.typeartículo científico

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Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical - Universidade Federal de Goiás