Farm Level Risk Assessment Using Downside Risk Measures

dc.creatorBerg, Ernst
dc.creatorStarp, Michael
dc.date2017-04-01T20:03:59Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-09T03:50:52Z
dc.descriptionRecent and presumable future developments tend to increase the risk associated with farming activities. This causes an increasing importance of risk management. Farmers have a wide variety of possibilities to influence the risk exposure of their operations. Among them are the choice of the production program as well as marketing activities including forward pricing and hedging with futures and options. In total all these opportunities comprise a portfolio of activities which must be selected as to match the resources of the farm as well as the farmer's attitudes towards risk. The paper addresses this issue using a whole farm stochastic optimisation approach based on a risk-value framework. The paper starts with a discussion of risk-value models and the relationship between them and the expected utility hypothesis. In the second part the approach is incorporated in a whole farm model that optimizes a portfolio of production activities and risk management instruments. A case study is used to analyse the possibilities and limitations of the approach and to illustrate the effects of yield and production risk on decision making.
dc.identifierdoi:10.22004/ag.econ.25400
dc.identifierhttps://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/25400/files/cp060816.pdf
dc.identifierhttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/25400
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/540814
dc.languageeng
dc.publisher
dc.sourcehttp://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/25400
dc.titleFarm Level Risk Assessment Using Downside Risk Measures
dc.typeText

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