Hydro-economic modeling of climate change impacts in Ethiopia

dc.creatorYou, Gene Jiing-Yun
dc.creatorRingler, Claudia
dc.date2010
dc.date2012-08-02T12:58:55Z
dc.date2012-08-02T12:58:55Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:21:10Z
dc.descriptionEthiopia is susceptible to frequent climate extremes such as disastrous droughts and floods. These disastrous climatic events, which have caused significant adverse effects on the country’s economy and society, are expected to become more pronounced in the future under climate change. To identify the potential threat of climate change to the Ethiopian economy, this study analyzes three major factors that are changing under global warming: water availability under higher temperatures and changing precipitation patterns, the impact of changing precipitation patterns on flooding, and the potential impact on crop production of the carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization effect. These issues are analyzed based on an existing multi-market-sector model for the Ethiopian economy, with a focus on agriculture. Our analysis finds that the major impact of climate change on Ethiopia’s economy will result from more frequent occurrence of extreme hydrologic events, which cause losses in both the agricultural and nonagricultural sectors. To adapt to these long-term changes, Ethiopia should invest in enhanced water control to expand irrigation and improve flood protection.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/21524
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/101893
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceYou, Gene Jiing-Yun; and Ringler, Claudia. 2010. Hydro-economic modeling of climate change impacts in Ethiopia. IFPRI Discussion Paper 960. Washington, DC: IFPRI. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/21524
dc.titleHydro-economic modeling of climate change impacts in Ethiopia
dc.typeWorking Paper

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