Econometric Analysis of Youth Smoking Behavior in Turkey

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World Bank, Washington, DC

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The report is organized as follows. The information about the Global Youth Tobacco Survey (GYTS) is provided in the first part. The second part gives some descriptive statistics about the prevalence rate of students and their consumption based on several characteristics observed in the survey. The third part presents the empirical model and the variables used to estimate the probability of smoke and the quantity consumed. The fourth part presents the empirical results obtained from the analysis. The last part summarizes the results and concludes the paper with some policy recommendations. A total of 202 schools and 15,957 students were surveyed in the analysis. The GYTS questionnaire asks about the general characteristics of students, such as age, grade, sex, income level, region, and their family whether their parents work, and their education levels. Other questions ask about smoking habits, accessibility, smoking habits of their family members and friends; as well as exposure to pro / anti cigarette promotions and their thoughts about tobacco control measures. The results of this study have some important policy implications. First, the results indicate that price is an important factor that affects students' probability of smoke significantly. Second, it is also found that the knowledge about the harmful effects of smoking decreases both the probability of smoking and tobacco consumption significantly. Third, those students that have difficulty in getting tobacco products from markets are less likely to smoke and they smoke less cigarettes. Fourth, if smoking is not allowed inside the school building, the students have a lower probability of smoking.

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ADDICTION, ADDICTION TO CIGARETTES, ADULT SMOKING, ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS, ANTI-SMOKING MESSAGES, ANTI-TOBACCO ACTIVITIES, ANTI-TOBACCO CAMPAIGNS, AVERAGE AGE, BRAND NAMES, CHEWING TOBACCO, CIGAR, CIGARETTE, CIGARETTE ADVERTISEMENT, CIGARETTE ADVERTISEMENTS, CIGARETTE CONSUMPTION, CIGARETTE MANUFACTURERS, CIGARETTE PACKAGES, CIGARETTE PRICE, CIGARETTE PRICES, CIGARETTE SALE, CIGARETTE SALES, CIGARETTE SMOKING, CIGARETTES, CONSUMPTION OF TOBACCO, CURRICULUM, DEMAND FOR TOBACCO PRODUCTS, DEPENDENCE, EDUCATION LEVELS, EXCISE TAXES, EXPENDITURES, EXPOSURE TO SMOKE, FAMILIES, FEMALE STUDENTS, GIRLS, HEAVY SMOKERS, HIGH SCHOOL, HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS, MANUFACTURED CIGARETTES, MORTALITY, OLD STUDENTS, OLDER STUDENTS, PRICE ELASTICITY, PRICE INCREASES, PRICE OF CIGARETTE, PRICE OF CIGARETTES, PRICE OF TOBACCO, PRIMARY HEALTH CARE, PRIMARY SCHOOL, PUBLIC PLACES, QUANTITY OF CIGARETTES, QUITTING SMOKING, ROLE MODELS, SCHOOL CURRICULUM, SCHOOLS, SECONDARY SCHOOL, SECONDARY SCHOOLS, SELF-CONFIDENCE, SELLING TOBACCO PRODUCTS, SEX, SMOKER, SMOKERS, SMOKING BEHAVIOR, SMOKING IN PUBLIC, SMOKING PREVALENCE, SNUFF, SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE, TAXES ON CIGARETTES, TEACHERS, TEENAGERS, TOBACCO, TOBACCO CONSUMPTION, TOBACCO CONTROL, TOBACCO CONTROL MEASURES, TOBACCO EPIDEMIC, TOBACCO SALES, TOBACCO USE, TOBACCO USERS, UNIVERSITY FACULTY, YOUTH, YOUTH SMOKING

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