Tunisia – Skills Development for Employment
No hay miniatura disponible
Fecha
Autores
Título de la revista
ISSN de la revista
Título del volumen
Editor
World Bank, Washington, DC
Resumen
Descripción
Tunisia is expected to enter a recession
in 2020 as a result of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic,
the slowdown in production due to no demand, and decline in
tourism. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth averaged only
1.8 percent per year in 2011–2018 compared to 4 percent in
2001-2005 and 4.5 percent in 2006–2010. Despite a good
performance of tradable services, growth slowed down from
2.7 percent in 2018 to 1 percent in 2019. 1 This slowdown
may be attributed to several factors, including the death of
President Essebsi, presidential and parliamentary elections,
a drop in industrial production, and fall in agricultural
growth. The World Bank estimates that Tunisia’s potential
GDP growth has dropped by 2 to 2.5 percentage points in the
past 15 years due to declining physical and human capital,
persistently low productivity, and lower competitiveness.
The COVID-19 crisis will exacerbate Tunisia’s growth
challenges in the short and possibly medium term. A
Government of Tunisia (GoT) and World Bank study estimates
that a month-long lockdown would reduce growth by 0.9
percentage points in 2020.2 According to the same study, two
to three months of lockdown would adversely affect the
highly exposed export-oriented sectors (mechanical and
electrical products, and textiles), services (tourism,
commerce), and transport sectors and reduce growth by at
least 4 percentage points in 2020. These negative growth
effects will be accentuated by a projected sharp decline in
investment, domestic demand, and productivity as the crisis lengthens.
Palabras clave
YOUTH EMPLOYMENT, LABOR MARKET, TECHNICAL AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION AND TRAINING, TVET, PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS, EDUCATION FINANCE, PUBLIC EXPENDITURE, PROFESSIONAL TRAINING, SKILLS DEVELOPMENT