Cotton Production, Land Use Change and Resource Competition in the Aksu-Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China
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This paper assessed cotton production and land use change (CPLC) and resource
competition along the Aksu-Tarim River (ATR) of Xinjiang, China. Trend analysis,
correlation analysis, and the Comparative Advantage Indicies (CAI); Efficiency
Advantage Index (EAI), Scale Advantage Index (SAI) and Aggregated Advantage
Index (AAI) analysis were used in guiding efficient resource allocation for sustainable
cotton production; minimize resource competition and conflict in the arid region. The
results revealed a relative variation in comparative advantages (CA) in cotton production
among upstream and downstream farms, and inside and outside Bingtuan between
the years 1989 to 2009. CA for cotton production and agricultural land use area was
observed for counties along the upper reaches of the ATR than their counterparts.
Furthermore, CPLC were more responsive to policies than market price. Also, human,
population, proximity of cotton farms to a water source, and cotton production was the
major drivers of land use. Finally, key measures that could impact future sustainable
cotton development were discussed based on CAI and ecology.