It's raining babies? Flood exposures and fertility in Bangladesh

dc.creatorThiede, Brian C.
dc.creatorChen, Joyce J.
dc.creatorMueller, Valerie
dc.creatorHultquist, Carolynne
dc.creatorSalim, Zarmeen
dc.date2025-12
dc.date2025-12-03T17:07:52Z
dc.date2025-12-03T17:07:52Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:04:58Z
dc.descriptionAn abundant demographic literature examines the impacts of climatic and environmental change on human migration and health. However, somewhat less is known about the effects of environmental changes, especially flood events, on fertility despite plausible reasons to expect such impacts. We address this gap by examining the relationship between exposure to flooding and fertility in Bangladesh, which has experienced several catastrophic flood events in recent decades. We link birth records from the Demographic and Health Survey with satellite-derived measures of flooding from 2001 through 2018 and fit regression models to measure the effects of flood exposures on the probability of live births in subsequent years. To explore pathways, we also construct and analyze panels of women's entry into first marriage and mortality among under-5 children. Flooding has uneven effects on fertility across the target population. We detect statistically and substantively meaningful flood-related increases in childbearing among less-educated and higher parity women but find flood-related fertility declines among childless women and those in urban areas. Results also suggest that flood-related delays in marriage among urban women may explain their reductions in fertility. However, findings otherwise provide little systematic evidence that marriage and child mortality mediate the links between flood exposures and fertility.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/178496
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/93986
dc.languageen
dc.publisherWiley
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceThiede, Brian C.; Chen, Joyce J.; Mueller, Valerie; Hultquist, Carolynne; and Salim, Zarmeen. 2025. It's raining babies? Flood exposures and fertility in Bangladesh. Population and Development Review 51(4): 1466-1498. https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.70030
dc.subjectinfants
dc.subjectflooding
dc.subjectnatural disasters
dc.subjectfertility
dc.subjectmodels
dc.subjectmortality
dc.subjecturban areas
dc.titleIt's raining babies? Flood exposures and fertility in Bangladesh
dc.typeJournal Article

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