Impact of Cigarette Price Increase on Health and Financing Outcomes in Vietnam
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World Bank, Washington, DC
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This paper is part of additional efforts
supported by the World Bank Global Tobacco Control Program
to inform the Government of Vietnam on options for tobacco
taxation by providing estimates of the impact of cigarette
price increase across five income groups for the period
2020-2022 under two scenarios. Vietnam is an important
country for global tobacco control, and currently has about
15 million males who smoke. To support government efforts to
strengthen tobacco controlpolicies, most notably through a
substantial increase in the excise tax of tobacco,
weconducted an extended cost-effectiveness analysis to
examine the distributional impactof a 32 percent and a 62
percent increase in cigarette prices under Scenario A and
Scenario B,respectively. In conclusion, we found that higher
cigarette prices would particularly benefit the poorest
income quintile of the population, in terms of deaths
averted, life-years saved, out of pocket expenditures for
treating tobacco-attributable diseases, catastrophic health
expenditures, and extreme poverty averted. The additional
tax burden is, however, borne mostly by the top income group
in the 62 percent price increase scenario. Thus, tobacco
taxes are an effective way to improve health and reduce
poverty in Vietnam.
Palabras clave
CIGARETTE PRICES, TOBACCO TAX, SMOKING, PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND, TOBACCO CONTROL, SIN TAX