Indigenous and scientific forecasts on climate change perceptions of arable farmers: Rwenzori region, western Uganda

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dc.creatorNkuba, Michael Robert
dc.creatorChanda, Raban
dc.creatorMmopelwa, Gagoitseope
dc.creatorAdedoyin, Akintayo
dc.creatorMangheni, Margaret Najjingo
dc.creatorLesolle, David
dc.creatorKato, Edward
dc.date2020-10-01
dc.date2024-05-22T12:14:55Z
dc.date2024-05-22T12:14:55Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:02:13Z
dc.descriptionDespite the dissemination of climate information from national meteorological systems, arable farmers still have challenges of dealing with climate-related risks. This study investigated the effect of using indigenous knowledge-based forecasts (IFs) and scientific knowledge-based forecasts (SFs) on the climate change perceptions of arable farmers in the Rwenzori region, Western Uganda. Data on socio-economic characteristics, use of forecasts, and climate change perceptions was collected from 580 arable farmers and the probit model was used in the analysis. The findings indicated that use of IFs only increased the likelihood of perceiving increase in the frequency in occurrences of droughts and floods. Using both SFs and IFs had a significant positive effect on perception of unpredictable rains and the increase in drought incidence among arable farmers. Although forecasts are important drivers of perceptions, other factors, such as gender, social capital, and dissemination of climate change information by radio, enhance climate change perceptions. Active participation of arable farmers in the dissemination of forecasts by national meteorological services could improve perceptions of climate related risks.
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/143537
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/92756
dc.languageen
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceNkuba, Michael Robert; Chanda, Raban; Mmopelwa, Gagoitseope; Adedoyin, Akintayo; Mangheni, Margaret Najjingo; Lesolle, David; and Kato, Edward. 2020. Indigenous and scientific forecasts on climate change perceptions of arable farmers: Rwenzori region, western Uganda. In African Handbook of Climate Change Adaptation, eds. Walter Leal Filho, Nicholas Ogugu, Lydia Adelake, and Desalegn AyalIzael da Silva. Pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-42091-8_113-1
dc.subjectforecasting
dc.subjectclimate
dc.subjectarable farming
dc.subjectcapacity development
dc.subjectclimate change perception
dc.subjectrisk
dc.subjectindigenous knowledge
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.titleIndigenous and scientific forecasts on climate change perceptions of arable farmers: Rwenzori region, western Uganda
dc.typeBook Chapter

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