Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Nicaragua

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dc.creatorRodriguez, Jorge
dc.creatorThomas, Timothy S.
dc.creatorCenacchi, Nicola
dc.creatorRios, Ana R.
dc.date2019-04-19
dc.date2024-06-21T09:07:41Z
dc.date2024-06-21T09:07:41Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:37:27Z
dc.descriptionThis paper explores the impact of climate change on agriculture in Nicaragua using biophysical models and a bioeconomic model. It also examines differences in projections of key climate models. In Nicaragua’s case, the climate models strongly disagree in the direction of change in precipitation, with one model projecting large increases in rainfall and two projecting large decreases. This will keep policy makers from being able to invest in adapting to one type of outcome, though the report still makes recommendations for policies which will help farmers adapt to climate change. Most climate models show that rainfall will decline in the primera season (June–August), which only has a moderate amount of rainfall now. A decline in that season could result in a higher percentage of years with poor yields for maize and other crops. The bioeconomic model used in this report show that averaging across all growing seasons, sugarcane, coffee, maize, sorghum, and beans are expected to suffer negative shocks from climate change. And if the low-rainfall climate model proves to be correct, the losses will be much larger those projected here which rely on the median prediction from the climate models.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/146595
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/109761
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.relationhttps://cgspace.cgiar.org/items/ae072d18-eb29-421f-abd1-cc279f240d03
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/146591
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133209
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133211
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133215
dc.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133213
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceRodriguez, Jorge; Thomas, Timothy S.; Cenacchi, Nicola; and Rios, Ana R. 2019. Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Nicaragua. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1829. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133214.
dc.subjectmodels
dc.subjectmathematical models
dc.subjectagricultural policies
dc.subjectsugar cane
dc.subjectmaize
dc.subjectcrop yield
dc.subjectagriculture
dc.subjectclimate change adaptation
dc.subjectcoffee
dc.subjectfood security
dc.subjectpoverty
dc.subjectcrop modelling
dc.subjectfood insecurity
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.titleClimate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for Nicaragua
dc.typeWorking Paper

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Instituto Internacional de Investigación sobre Políticas Alimentarias (IFPRI)