GIEWS Update - the Democratic Republic of Korea

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The 2015 aggregate food1 production is estimated at 5.42 million tonnes, 9 percent less than in 2014 and the first decline since 2011 due to poor rains and low availabilities of water for irrigation. The sharp reduction follows an already disappointing output in 2014. Production of paddy rice, the country’s main staple, dropped by 26 percent and output of maize also decreased, although to a lesser extent. Total food requirements for the 2015/16 marketing year (November/October) are forecast by F AO at 5.48 million tonnes of cereal equivalent (rice in milled terms), resulting in a cereal import requirement of 684 000 tonnes. Assuming the official import target of 300 000 tonnes of cereals is met, an uncovered food deficit of 384 000 tonnes for the current marketing year is forecast. This gap is almost four times larger than in 2014/15 and the highest on record since 2011. Given the tight supply outlook, the food security situation in 2015/16 is expected to deteriorate from the previous y ear when most households were already estimated to have poor or borderline food consumption rates. Government-distributed food rations, which provide the main access to food for 18 million people, have been sharply reduced since July 2015.

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