Strategic foresight planning: Formulating crop story maps and building climate resilient pathways
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Strategic Foresight is the ability to predict or the action of predicting what will happen or be needed in the future. Foresight uses a range of methodologies, such as scanning the horizon for emerging changes, analysing megatrends and developing multiple scenarios, to reveal and discuss useful ideas about the future. It is an approach that aims at making sense of the future, understanding drivers of change that are outside of one’s control, and preparing for what may lead to success or failure. The target of this process consisted in the development of policy narratives. The preparation of policy narrative was realised officials of the Department of Agricultural Land Management (DALAM) and of the National Agricultural and Forestry Research Institute (NAFRI) to present key concepts and methods around science communication by producing story maps, presenting spatial analysis in a user-friendly manner, and future-proof resilient policy recommendations.
The narratives are detailed in-depth analysis of the current state of maize, cassava, coffee and banana production, as well as projections of future developments of the agricultural system. The policy recommendations and advised actions in the document can help policy makers to establish a resilient future-proof production system.