Using Satellite Imagery and a Farmer Registry to Assess Agricultural Support in Conflict Settings
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Washington, DC: World Bank
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While cash transfers have emerged as
an attractive option to minimize negative long-term impacts
of conflict, the scope for targeting and assessing their
impact in such settings is often challenging. This paper
shows how a digital farmer registry in Ukraine (the State
Agrarian Register) helped to target and evaluate such a
program, using the country’s $50 million Producer Support
Grant in a way that largely avoided mis-targeting. The
analysis applies a difference-in-differences design with
panel data from 2019–23 on crop cover at the parcel/farm
level for the universe of eligible farmers registered in the
State Agrarian Register. The findings suggest that the
program significantly increased area cultivated, although
the effect size remained modest. Impacts were most
pronounced near the frontline and for the smallest farmers.
The paper discusses the implications in terms of a more
diversified menu of support options and the scope of using
the State Agrarian Register to help to implement these
options, as well as lessons beyond Ukraine.
Palabras clave
UKRAINE, CONFLICT/WAR, FOOD SECURITY, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, CASH GRANTS, REMOTE SENSING, ZERO HUNGER, SDG 2, PEACE, JUSTICE AND STRONG INSTITUTIONS, SDG 16