Per Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Convergence or Divergence?
| dc.creator | Aldy, Joseph E. | |
| dc.date | 2017-04-01T18:35:09Z | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-07-09T02:59:47Z | |
| dc.description | Understanding and considering the distribution of per capita carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is important in designing international climate change proposals and incentives for participation. I evaluate historic international emissions distributions and forecast future distributions to assess whether per capita emissions have been converging or will converge. I find evidence of convergence among 23 member countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), whereas emissions appear to be diverging for an 88-country global sample over 1960-2000. Forecasts based on a Markov chain transition matrix provide little evidence of future emissions convergence and indicate that emissions may diverge in the near term. I also review the shortcomings of environmental Kuznets curve regressions and structural models in characterizing future emissions distributions. | |
| dc.identifier | doi:10.22004/ag.econ.10773 | |
| dc.identifier | https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/10773/files/dp050053.pdf | |
| dc.identifier | http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/10773 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/524445 | |
| dc.language | eng | |
| dc.publisher | ||
| dc.source | http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/10773 | |
| dc.title | Per Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Convergence or Divergence? | |
| dc.type | Text |
