What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?

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dc.creatorKoo, Jawoo
dc.creatorAnderson, Weston
dc.date2025-07-21
dc.date2025-06-30T20:03:12Z
dc.date2025-06-30T20:03:12Z
dc.date.accessioned2026-06-27T15:42:01Z
dc.descriptionAs of June 2023, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) declared that El Niño conditions were present and consensus existed among climate prediction centers that El Niño would likely persist from November 2023 to February 2024. El Niño is typically associated with seasonal climate anomalies and extreme weather events throughout the developing world, especially across sub-Saharan Africa, but the economic impacts caused by these events are difficult to disentangle from those of other climate shocks, natural disasters, and economic cycles. Additionally, the strength and consistency of El Niño’s agroclimatic impacts vary by region. El Niño’s unique slow onset, periodic pattern, and lead times of prediction (from a few months to a year) make it possible to design anticipatory policies and prepare emergency responses in advance. Policymakers should closely monitor the evolution of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases and the potential impacts of El Niño and be prepared to coordinate policy responses quickly as the situation unfolds. As global warming continues and climate extremes occur more frequently, actions to foster climate-resilient agrifood systems should be broadly prioritized.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/175408
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/112131
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Institute
dc.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/175019
dc.rightsOpen Access
dc.sourceKoo, Jawoo; and Anderson, Weston. 2025. What do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems? In What do we know about the future of food systems? eds. Keith Wiebe and Elisabetta Gotor. Part One: What Do We Know About the Future of Food Systems Drivers and Impacts? Chapter 15, Pp. 85-90. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/175408
dc.subjectEl Niño
dc.subjectagrifood systems
dc.subjectclimate prediction
dc.subjectextreme weather events
dc.subjectagroclimatology
dc.subjectearly warning systems
dc.subjectclimate variability
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.titleWhat do we know about the impacts of the next El Niño on agrifood systems?
dc.typeBook Chapter

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