Earthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention

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dc.creatorKeefer, Philip
dc.creatorNeumayer, Eric
dc.creatorPlumper, Thomas
dc.date2014-08-29T17:46:59Z
dc.date2014-08-29T17:46:59Z
dc.date2010-01
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T01:14:46Z
dc.descriptionGovernments can significantly reduce earthquake mortality by implementing and enforcing quake-proof construction regulation. The authors examine why many governments do not. Contrary to intuition, controlling for the strength and location of actual earthquakes, mortality is lower in countries with higher earthquake propensity, where the payoffs to mortality prevention are higher. Importantly, however, the government response to earthquake propensity depends on country income and the political incentives of governments to provide public goods to citizens. The opportunity costs of earthquake mortality prevention are higher in poorer countries; rich countries invest more in mortality prevention than poor countries in response to a higher earthquake propensity. Similarly, governments that have fewer incentives to provide public goods, such as younger democracies, autocracies with less institutionalized ruling parties and countries with corrupt regimes, respond less to an elevated quake propensity. They therefore have higher mortality at any level of quake propensity compared to older democracies, autocracies with highly institutionalized parties and non-corrupt regimes, respectively. The authors find robust evidence for these predictions in our analysis of earthquake mortality over the period 1960 to 2005.
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formattext/plain
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2010/01/11670035/earthquake-propensity-politics-mortality-prevention
dc.identifierhttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/19863
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-5182
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/416430
dc.languageEnglish
dc.languageen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relationPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 5182
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectBUILDING CODES
dc.subjectCATASTROPHIC EVENTS
dc.subjectCHILD MORTALITY
dc.subjectCITIZEN
dc.subjectCITIZENS
dc.subjectCOLLECTIVE ACTION
dc.subjectCRISES
dc.subjectDAMAGES
dc.subjectDEATH TOLL
dc.subjectDEMOCRACY
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDISASTER
dc.subjectDISASTER AID
dc.subjectDISASTER PREPAREDNESS
dc.subjectDISASTER PREVENTION
dc.subjectDISASTER REDUCTION
dc.subjectDISASTER RELIEF
dc.subjectDISASTER RISK
dc.subjectDISASTER RISK REDUCTION
dc.subjectDISASTER TYPE
dc.subjectDISASTER TYPES
dc.subjectDISASTERS
dc.subjectEARTHQUAKE
dc.subjectEARTHQUAKES
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectECONOMICS
dc.subjectEFFECTS OF EARTHQUAKE
dc.subjectEXPLOSIVE
dc.subjectFAMINE
dc.subjectFAMINES
dc.subjectFARMERS
dc.subjectFATALITIES
dc.subjectFATALITY
dc.subjectFEWER PEOPLE
dc.subjectFLOODING
dc.subjectGENDER GAP
dc.subjectGOOD GOVERNANCE
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT POLICIES
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT RESPONSE
dc.subjectHEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE
dc.subjectHIGH MORTALITY COUNTRIES
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINFECTIOUS DISEASE
dc.subjectINFECTIOUS DISEASES
dc.subjectINSURANCE
dc.subjectJOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
dc.subjectLARGE NUMBERS OF PEOPLE
dc.subjectLIFE EXPECTANCY
dc.subjectLOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subjectMARGINAL COSTS
dc.subjectMARKET FAILURES
dc.subjectMORTALITY
dc.subjectMORTALITY REDUCTION
dc.subjectNATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subjectNUMBER OF PEOPLE
dc.subjectOPPORTUNITY COSTS
dc.subjectPOLICY ANALYSIS
dc.subjectPOLICY IMPLICATIONS
dc.subjectPOLICY RESEARCH
dc.subjectPOLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
dc.subjectPOLITICAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectPOLITICAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectPOLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
dc.subjectPOPULATION DENSITY
dc.subjectPOPULATION SIZE
dc.subjectPOPULOUS COUNTRIES
dc.subjectPREVENTION EFFORTS
dc.subjectPROGRESS
dc.subjectPUBLIC HEALTH
dc.subjectPUBLIC POLICY
dc.subjectRECONSTRUCTION
dc.subjectRICHER COUNTRIES
dc.subjectSAFETY
dc.subjectSANCTION
dc.subjectSANITATION
dc.subjectSCARCE RESOURCES
dc.subjectSOCIAL WELFARE
dc.subjectSOCIETAL LEVEL
dc.subjectTECTONIC PLATES
dc.subjectVICTIMS
dc.subjectVULNERABILITY
dc.titleEarthquake Propensity and the Politics of Mortality Prevention

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