RISK ASSESSMENT OF MAJOR CROPS IN EGYPTIAN AGRICULTURE
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The increase in agricultural commodity prices is driven by several factors. One of the principal amongst these is the headlong growth in food consumption, associated with population growth, and especially with higher purchasing power among increasingly broad ranges of the population in emerging countries. The largest increases in population will take place in developing countries, while in high-income economies it will remain almost stable and in some areas, especially in some regions of Europe, there may even be a decline. By contrast, in
Africa the population is expected to double, growing from one to two million by 2050. Against this background, the present study focuses on the major variables which influence the risk to incomes in agricultural production in Egypt.