2026-06-27http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/92977What is the optimal timing for a cash transfer targeting increased secondary school enrollment? We present evidence from a randomized trial in rural Ethiopia showing a CCT increases enrollment and reduces child marriage. The largest effects are observed for youth offered the transfer a year prior to their (potential) matriculation; in this cohort, there is also a significant in-crease in the probability students pass the primary school leaving exam. By contrast, reduced treatment effects are observed for prior dropouts, and a generalized random forest analysis suggests this primarily reflects different observable characteristics (lower academic performance) among this sub-sample.application/pdfOpen Accesscash transferssocial protectioneducationyouthsecondary educationThe early bird gets the cash: Early notification and conditional cash transfers for secondary schoolWorking Paper